Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Merrill Lynch (MER), Economic data, Housing
Like water-torture, the drip, drip, drip of bad news out of Wall Street keeps coming. According to a report in The Wall Street Journal, Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) will report mortgage securities write-offs of another $6 billion to $8 billion, raising the question whether the firm will have to bring in more money by selling shares..
The newspaper reports that “The latest would bring its total since October to more than $30 billion and mean that Merrill reports a third straight quarterly net loss.” Merrill compounded its problems by getting further into the CDO markets as 2007 went on.
While some experts believe that the worst is behind big banks and brokerages, that may not be true. The paper based on mortgages still carries risk as the housing market continues to fall.
Statements from Wall Street firms about a near-term recovery is a victory of hope over reason. The truth of the matter is that they have no idea how much more the economy will slide. That raises the question of whether home equity loans, credit card debt, and auto loans will begin to fail at a faster rate. There are securities held by banks based on pools of all of this debt. The value of LBO debt could also continue to drop as business profits are squeezed by a poor economy.
The Merrill write-down is a sign of one thing and one thing only. Wall Street’s numbers could get much worse and there’s tiny reason that the economy will help them get superior.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
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