Filed under: Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Apple Inc (AAPL), General Electric (GE), Indices, AT and T (T), Citigroup Inc. (C), DJIA, Housing, Recession, NASDAQ
In the stock market, there are the indexes of consequence.
Certainly, the closely-watched Dow Jones Industrial Average is perhaps the world’s best-known stock market index, as it serves as an indicator of both U.S. economic conditions, and the nation’s economic prospects, 6-9 months ahead.
Market participants also closely monitor the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and the Russell 2000, among other averages.
For those who are suggests of technical analysis, including yours truly, the DJIA’s 50-day moving average and 200-day moving average, also are important, among other technical measures.
Stocks, as barometers
But let’s state you want a quick-read on the market, besides looking at the DJIA. Are there any shorthand reads on the market, any stocks that serve as a snapshot of the market and general economic conditions? That can vary by era. Historically, General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) has served as a rough barometer of industrial strength, and AT&T, Inc. (NYSE: T) of utilities/telecom strength. More recently, Microsoft Corporation (Nasdaq: MSFT), Apple, Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL), and Google, Inc. (Nasdaq: GOOG), have served as quick-reads on software, innovation, and the economic transformations driven by the Internet, respectively.
Still, this era in the land of the free has been characterized recently by the housing slump, mortgage and related asset-backed securities problems, and financial services/credit market stress. A quick read for the health (or lack thereof) in those markets, and by extension, in the U.S. economy? Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C).
Keep an eye on C
Keep an eye on good old C. If Citigroup is falling, chances are there’s trouble ahead for the market, and for the U.S. economy, among others. If C has bottomed and is rising, chances are, superior days are ahead. For the record, C closed Friday, April 25, 2008 up 84 cents to $26.60, and the stock appears to have formed a bottom in the $18-21 range.
With operations nearly everywhere in world, and with involvement in seemingly every financial services revenue stream possible, giant (and now recently much-maligned) Citibank is considered ‘too big to fail.’ Actually, it’s too interconnected to fail: very bad news for C would mean there’s very unpleasant news up ahead for the market, and for the U.S. economy, among others. Hence, in addition to the aforementioned indexes and stocks, keep an eye on C.
Disclosure: Lazzaro has no positions in stocks. In addition to private real estate holdings, he owns corporate and municipal bonds, and cash certificates of deposit.
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