Archive for April 28th, 2008

The Globe and Mail is reporting that scientists claim to have found a DNA link between the frozen remains of an aboriginal man and 17 living people. “While the work on the human DNA project has opened new doors and work will continue on establishing a fuller family tree, Long Ago Person Found’s descendants said they finally have the chance to give their ancestor a proper burial. Because his lineage had never been established, no memorial potlatch could be held. Of the 17 people linked through DNA, 15 self-identify with the Wolf Clan, meaning the young man was most likely Wolf as well.”

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Simon (S2) writes to mention that Europe’s second Galileo navigation satellite reached orbit this past weekend. Galileo is promising to offer several technological advances in comparison to the US-based GPS system but no longer promises to be a guaranteed service. “The Galileo programme now seems certain to go ahead, after a prolonged and painful shift from partly-private financing of the construction to public funds taken from unspent EU farm subsidies. This money would normally have been returned to donor nations, with the UK, Germany and the Netherlands as the biggest three. London MPs have expressed doubt as to whether the UK will receive value for the money it will pay, but have acknowledged that the British government doesn’t actually have any choice about Galileo under EU funding rules.”

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Betsy Carroll writes “The Stanford research group on virtual teams discusses how the appearance of one’s avatar in virtual worlds has an effect on real life behavior in an NPR interview. The researcher they talk with focuses on the concept of vicarious reinforcement for changing behavior. They also talk a bit about identity issues surrounding the avatar and the ‘real’ physical self.”

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Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT) issued a pretty strong set of marching orders five years ago to its top 100 suppliers: adopt RFID in your business practice or suffer the consequences of doing less business with the world’s top retailer. RFID was supposed to make logistics easier by allowing automated tracking and shipping of inventory as quick and efficient as possible. Out with the barcode, in with the radio microchip.

It hasn’t quite worked out that way. Reportedly, “many” of the retailer’s top 600 vendors use RFID “to some degree,” but the startup costs can be easily felt by most of Wal-Mart’s small suppliers. Outside of the “many” vendors who are using RFID, the rest many not “be using it at all.” Apparently, Wal-Mart has backed down from the mandate that all vendors use RFID in their shipments to the retailer.

Wal-Mart is the only customer requiring RFID to be used in shipments. Is it worth the bother just to placate one customer? Well, Wal-Mart’s RFID edict was launched at the birth of the technology. Prices and implementation were high, standards weren’t in place and the RFID industry seemed completely fragmented. Of course, it’s not that way now, but the damage may have already been done. Will Wal-Mart soon drop the requirement that its vendors implement RFID programs into their pallets and shipments? Might as well, since the retailer is really not enforcing its own rules.

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Shares of electronics retailer Radioshack (NYSE: RSH) are trading lower in premarket trading after putting up less than impressive earnings this morning.

The company was able to slightly come in above analyst estimates, with 30 cents per share compared to the forecast 29 cents per share, but the rest of the report left much to be desired. Compared to its first period last year, earnings were down slightly, as the company was able to show earnings of 31 cents a share last year. Revenue was also lower, by 4.4%.

One area that analysts always look at in judging a company’s performance is same-store sales. Radioshack was weak in this area as well, posting a drop of 4% year-over-year. The company blamed this decline on lower demand for its Sprint post-paid wireless contracts and related accessories. Excluding this weak part of its business, Radioshack said that it would have actually seen a 0.7% increase in its same-store sales.

Another key area of interest is gross margins, and here the company saw another decline. Gross margins were narrowed as a result of three components: increased promotions, lower prices on its GPS units, and a shift from new wireless customers to more upgrades.

In reaction to this morning’s report, the stock has been selling off, with shares trading down 1.5% in the premarket. We should get a better idea of just how the stock will do shortly after the market opens.

Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last four years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor’s Observer.

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Brentwood man faces life sentence for Oakland armed robbery - San Jose Mercury News

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The perceptive and common sense-rooted Ben Stein, in a business column in The New York Times, has weighed-in on the credit crisis, and for market absolutists, it’s an argument they probably don’t want to hear.

Stein, like many of us, has pondered how the massively well-paid men and women of Wall Street could create such a catastrophe. How did some of the smartest, talented executives, Stein ruminates, generate such immense losses that “they made banks clam up on lending — at great risk to the economy?”

Compelling questions

Stein asks: Where were the fail-safe devices? The government watchdogs? The ratings agencies? A speech by Greenlight Capital hedge fund manager David Einhorn at a Grant’s Interest Rate Observer event, provided the answers — the unfortunate truths of the recent housing/credit boom — which Stein summarized:

-The investment banks have a strong incentive to maximize their assets and leverage themselves because their pay is a function of how much debt they can build.

-In addition to leveraging fairly safe assets, such as government agency debt, they also amassed exposure to derivatives, among other instruments, with stunning risk profiles and that can produce incredible losses in bad times.

-Underlying capital requirements to support these ‘assets’ were watered down as a result a 2004 rule promulgated by the Securities and Exchange Commission called the “Alternative Net Capital Requirements for Broker-Dealers That Are Part of Consolidated Supervised Entities,” which reduced the amount of required capital to engage in risky activities, Stein explained, citing Einhorn.

-Even more troubling, the SEC also granted broker-dealers to determine their own valuation for assets and liabilities that were hard to value, and also granted them to assign their own creditworthiness ratings to counterparties in complex derivatives.

In short, the SEC told Wall Street to police itself to save on regulatory costs, Stein explained, citing Einhorn.

What self-policing wrought

The result of the self-policing? A system that rewarded institutions when they succeed, but left the taxpayers with the bill if they failed, Stein explained, citing Einhorn. It’s a system that took deregulation to the extreme, in Stein’s interpretation

Don’t misunderstand: Stein is an informed, consistent recommend of free markets, but those markets must have rules. Or as Stein put it, “deregulation… has been followed down so long and winding a road that it has led to an immense lie: that deregulation carried to an extreme won’t lead to calamity.”

Economic Analysis: Stein, always a good test of whether a behavior or business tactic makes financial common sense, demonstrates that financial common sense was sacrificed to other goals during the recent housing and credit market boom. And those other goals couldn’t have been achieved in a classic regulated environment, hence the regulations were amended or eliminated, with predictable results. As noted earlier, the task for policy makers now is to determine: 1) which assets can be monetized, 2) what constitutes acceptable and unacceptable uses of debt/leverage and 3) which financial instruments enhance liquidity / limit risk and which are reckless / create systemic risk.

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The Bank of America, seeking approval of its Countrywide Financial Corp. takeover, announced Monday it will modify at least $40 billion in troubled mortgages during the next two years to keep customers in their homes, Bloomberg News reported Monday.

The action could help as many as 265,000 homeowners, Liam McGee, president of the Bank of America’s (NYSE: BAC) global consumer and small-business banking unit, said Monday in Los Angeles at a U.S. Federal Reserve hearing on the pending buy, Bloomberg News reported.

“No one benefits from a foreclosed home,” McGee told Bloomberg News. “It is bad business for banks.”

Bank of America’s shares moved 10 cents higher to $38.40 while Countrywide (NYSE: CFC) gained 7 cents to $5.91 on the news in Monday afternoon trading.

Economist David H. Wang told BloggingStocks Monday he likes what he hears regarding the Bank of America’s proposed plan, from both sector and macroeconomic standpoints. “It is a prudent move. It’s not a move without costs, but in the long run the Bank of America will have more performing loans, which will benefit its bottom line,” Wang stated. “It’s also good from a macroeconomic standpoint, because we know that people in their homes tend to purchase furniture, appliances, and other home maintenance items. So the more people who are able to retain their homes, the superior, for the U.S. economy.” Wang added that he doesn’t own shares in either BAC or CFC.

Get ‘ball rolling in right direction’

Wang stated he hopes other banks will follow suit “to the extent they are able to” and also concur to alter what he called “at-risk loans” - - those that are in danger of foreclosure, or near that stage.

“The Bank of America’s pool contains 265,000 [borrowers]. Now envision another 250,000 [borrowers] able to retain their homes, and maintain their homes, …stay as functioning homeowners in their communities. That would have a significant stimulative effect on the U.S. economy,” Wang said. “It would be a positive data point that would get the ball rolling in the right direction.”

The Bank of America didn’t specify the costs associated with its plan, and Wang didn’t want to speculate, prior to a review of the bank’s proposed initiative. However, Wang did state the plan “may not contain as high a cost for the bank as one might assume,” if new mortgage terms enable the bank to recapture a portion of due principal/interest deferred.

In January 2008, amid the nation’s worst housing slump in more than 15 years, the Bank of America agreed to acquire troubled Countrywide Financial, pending regulatory and shareholder approval. If approved, BAC stated it would operate the combined company under the Bank of America brand name.

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Most observers believe the Fed will cut rates a quarter of a point this week and then take a “wait and see” position on the economy.

There’s a very good chance that events over the last week will cause the Fed to keep interest rates just as they’re.

Interruptions in oil supply have pushed the price of crude for June delivery to almost $120 a barrel. This not only means that gas prices in the US could go above $4 but the costs of petrochemicals and heating oil should continue to move up sharply.

Food prices in the first quarter went up as fast as they have at any time in the last 17 years.

The other reason that the Fed may stop slicing rates entirely is that banks are taking the savings from lower rates to build their balance sheets but are not passing those lower rates on to consumers and businesses. Much of the value of being able to borrow money for less isn’t being seen in the economy at all. For example, the rates for mortgages are not going down.

With inflation running at an especially high level and credit rates unlikely to get superior, the reasons for the Fed cutting rates further are harder and harder to identify

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com and writes the Ten Stocks Under $10 newsletter.

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freakxx writes “India sets a world record after launching 10 satellites in one go using its workhorse, the Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV). All the satellites are put into their respective orbits successfully. It was the core-alone version of the launch vehicle weighing 230 tonne with a payload of 824 Kg in total. Two of the satellites were Indian satellites while rest were from different countries. By this launch, the ISRO has proven its credibility and it is going to boost India’s image in the attractive multi-billion commercial market of satellite launches. This was the 12th successful launch of the PSLV.”

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